Wednesday, November 25, 2015
Monday, November 23, 2015
aces cracked
http://www.boomplayer.com/en/poker-hands/Boom/16809823_E910655EA2
This is kind of a dangerous flop but with such shallow SPR after the flop I think it is best to just bet and call it off. Take a look at this simulation.
Edit · Link · 2+2 · Deuces Cracked · LeggoPoker
Edit · Link · 2+2 · Deuces Cracked · LeggoPoker
This is kind of a dangerous flop but with such shallow SPR after the flop I think it is best to just bet and call it off. Take a look at this simulation.
board: QhJh9c
| Hand | Equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| As9dAh5c | 34.68% | 197,936 | 20,336 |
| 15% | 65.32% | 381,728 | 20,336 |
board: QhJh9c
| Hand | Equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| As9dAh5c | 39.22% | 1,142,558 | 441,105 |
| 5% | 60.78% | 1,892,317 | 441,105 |
board: QhJh9c
| Hand | Equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| As9dAh5c | 35.85% | 2,801,889 | 445,267 |
| 10% | 64.15% | 5,189,004 | 445,267 |
The following hand was not perhaps very interesting but I think instructive.
I pick up K♠8♣A♥A♦ in the BB and the SB, a 40/16/1.0 fish completes so I raise max to .75 cents. 50bb effective. the SB calls. The 1.0 refers to aggression and this low figure generally means a fairly passive opponent. The flop ($1.50) comes K♥6♠2♠ and my opponent checks. Betting here is recommended with the plan to fold to a check raise. Most likely if my passive opponent decides to check raise this will indicate a strong made hand or perhaps a big draw like K + spades. But most of the time my opponent will not be check raising. Aces should be good and my passive opponent may not play stronger holding aggressively allowing me to draw out and extract significant value when I do so. He may also play some decent draws in such a weak passive manner that I am able to win against them as well. Though somewhat draw heavy, my opponent is still tight enough that he is fairly unlikely to have smashed this flop and there is a lot to be said for simply betting because my hand is good enough to demand the pot now.
So I bet 2/3rds pot ($1) and my opponent called. Maybe has 654, or a king, or spades, or a pair, who knows. It is important not to get tunnel vision when trying to put your opponent on a hand. It is not really possible to divine your opponents exact holding; instead allow your understanding of his tendencies to inform your strategic and tactical decisions.
The turn comes perfect, deuce of diamonds, he checks again, and I bet half pot and he folds. My plan should be to bet liberally on turns, perhaps betting all turns.
I pick up K♠8♣A♥A♦ in the BB and the SB, a 40/16/1.0 fish completes so I raise max to .75 cents. 50bb effective. the SB calls. The 1.0 refers to aggression and this low figure generally means a fairly passive opponent. The flop ($1.50) comes K♥6♠2♠ and my opponent checks. Betting here is recommended with the plan to fold to a check raise. Most likely if my passive opponent decides to check raise this will indicate a strong made hand or perhaps a big draw like K + spades. But most of the time my opponent will not be check raising. Aces should be good and my passive opponent may not play stronger holding aggressively allowing me to draw out and extract significant value when I do so. He may also play some decent draws in such a weak passive manner that I am able to win against them as well. Though somewhat draw heavy, my opponent is still tight enough that he is fairly unlikely to have smashed this flop and there is a lot to be said for simply betting because my hand is good enough to demand the pot now.
So I bet 2/3rds pot ($1) and my opponent called. Maybe has 654, or a king, or spades, or a pair, who knows. It is important not to get tunnel vision when trying to put your opponent on a hand. It is not really possible to divine your opponents exact holding; instead allow your understanding of his tendencies to inform your strategic and tactical decisions.
The turn comes perfect, deuce of diamonds, he checks again, and I bet half pot and he folds. My plan should be to bet liberally on turns, perhaps betting all turns.
Aces.
Sitting with $10 in my stack @ .10/.25 I pick up A♣A♠6♥9♠ and a 44/31 lag regular opens for pot. This is a fairly straight forward three bet. I can get 30% of my stack in the pot and plan to stack off liberally after the community cards have been placed down. But then the small blind (65/30 fish) and big blind 83/20 whale decide to take a flop along with the reg lag.
So the flop comes down Q♦J♣T♦. Despite my blockers, chances are I'm dead on this flop.
So the flop comes down Q♦J♣T♦. Despite my blockers, chances are I'm dead on this flop.
board: QdJcTd
| Hand | Equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| AcAs6h9s | 4.92% | 28,647 | 1,754 |
| 30% | 35.78% | 203,583 | 22,587 |
| 40% | 31.37% | 177,971 | 20,802 |
| 50% | 27.93% | 158,314 | 18,835 |
So I decided to check back once they all checked to me. The turn came the 9h, and the sb led out and everyone folded.
Playing .10/.25 I pick up 2♥4♥A♦K♦ in the BB and a loose aggressive regular opens the button with a min raise. I estimate that he's opening pretty wide on the button, say top 40% of hands. He's a 36/26 style in general and both blinds are regs. Effective stacks at 40bb. So I decide to call. I'm getting 3:1 on the call, and while my hand is not phenomenal I should be roughly around 50:50 with my opponents range. Take a look at the following simulation :
As you can see by both the simulation and the graph we are in a statistical dead heat and will like and dislike an equal amount of flops. While I do have a positional disadvantage this is more than balanced out by the tremendous odds which my opponents small raise has afforded me.
So I called and got a very good flop, specifically :
3♣5♣6♥ .
| Hand | Equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| AhKh4d2d | 49.66% | 289,632 | 16,670 |
| 40% | 50.34% | 293,698 | 16,670 |
or this graph of possible flop outcomes.
As you can see by both the simulation and the graph we are in a statistical dead heat and will like and dislike an equal amount of flops. While I do have a positional disadvantage this is more than balanced out by the tremendous odds which my opponents small raise has afforded me.
So I called and got a very good flop, specifically :
3♣5♣6♥ .
I checked, my opponent bet pot $1. I check raised pot with my straight and my opponent folded.
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