Wednesday, May 20, 2015

o/8 call

Down to three in an o/8 SNG I got three bet by a tight aggressive player.








I have As7s3d5c.  I'm getting just over 1.25:1 so I need around 44% equity to make the call.

My opponents stats were tight aggressive.  Something like 25/17.  This was his first three bet but this stats are over an insignificant sample size (15 hands). Still they paint a picture of my opponent as tight and aggressive.

vs a 15% shoving range I have just about enough odds to call (source, propokertools o/8 simulator)

As7s3d5c44.80%161,466249,22725,021166,54653,268
15%55.20%230,839325,75225,02192,62953,26

vs a 10% shoving range


As7s3d5c43.57%154,082249,32820,869156,28353,242
10%56.43%237,156329,80320,869103,09053,242
vs 5%
As7s3d5c41.38%145,071238,75313,877156,86346,088
5%58.62%252,516347,37013,877107,99046,088

I am the short stack and kind of need to make a move.  I think over all it is close but perhaps slightly too loose.  Not surprisingly my opponent had A2j5 and held up.  Le sigh.

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